Each map is a visual guide to where a particular bird species may find the climate conditions it needs to survive in the future. We call this the bird’s “climatic range.”
The colors indicate the season in which the bird may find suitable conditions— blue for winter, yellow for summer (breeding), and green for where they overlap (indicating their presence year-round).
The darker the shaded area, the more likely it is the bird species will find suitable climate conditions to survive there.
The outline of the approximate current range for each season remains fixed in each frame, allowing you to compare how the range will expand, contract, or shift in the future.
The first frame of the animation shows where the bird can find a suitable climate today (based on data from 2000). The next three frames predict where this bird’s suitable climate may shift in the future—one frame each for 2020, 2050, and 2080.
You can play or pause the animation with the orange button in the lower left, or select an individual frame to study by clicking on its year.
The western counterpart of the Blue-winged Teal, the Cinnamon Teal is today associated with extensive wetland complexes in deserts and grasslands. Unlike most western ducks, the species is largely absent in winter from the Interior West. Audubon’s climate model shows a dramatic expansion of the winter climate space—from a present-day stronghold along the U.S.–Mexico border to much of the southeastern U.S. and north into the Mid-Atlantic. Unfortunately, this expansion of the winter area will be accompanied by a drastic reduction of suitable summer climate space: with the projected desertification of the Interior West, only 13% of the current summer area will be suitable by 2080.
Explore more birds threatened by climate change around the country.
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