Each map is a visual guide to where a particular bird species may find the climate conditions it needs to survive in the future. We call this the bird’s “climatic range.”
The colors indicate the season in which the bird may find suitable conditions— blue for winter, yellow for summer (breeding), and green for where they overlap (indicating their presence year-round).
The darker the shaded area, the more likely it is the bird species will find suitable climate conditions to survive there.
The outline of the approximate current range for each season remains fixed in each frame, allowing you to compare how the range will expand, contract, or shift in the future.
The first frame of the animation shows where the bird can find a suitable climate today (based on data from 2000). The next three frames predict where this bird’s suitable climate may shift in the future—one frame each for 2020, 2050, and 2080.
You can play or pause the animation with the orange button in the lower left, or select an individual frame to study by clicking on its year.
This small forest sprite is forecast to undergo dramatic shifts in its breeding range across both the eastern and western parts of its range, according to Audubon's climate model. The model projects an 85 percent loss of current summer range by 2080, forcing the bird further north into Canada. Potential expansion of the winter range may help this species, but it remains to be seen as to whether the mature forests the species depends on will be available further north.
Note: This wren was recently split into two species, the western Pacific (T. pacificus) and eastern Winter (T. hiemalis). Using historic data, the Audubon climate model analyzed data for both species as the former Winter Wren (T. troglodytes).
Explore more birds threatened by climate change around the country.
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