Each map is a visual guide to where a particular bird species may find the climate conditions it needs to survive in the future. We call this the bird’s “climatic range.”
The colors indicate the season in which the bird may find suitable conditions— blue for winter, yellow for summer (breeding), and green for where they overlap (indicating their presence year-round).
The darker the shaded area, the more likely it is the bird species will find suitable climate conditions to survive there.
The outline of the approximate current range for each season remains fixed in each frame, allowing you to compare how the range will expand, contract, or shift in the future.
The first frame of the animation shows where the bird can find a suitable climate today (based on data from 2000). The next three frames predict where this bird’s suitable climate may shift in the future—one frame each for 2020, 2050, and 2080.
You can play or pause the animation with the orange button in the lower left, or select an individual frame to study by clicking on its year.
This unique species breeds somewhere few humans will ever go: dense, mosquito-infested spruce bogs. Many birders prefer, instead, to find them mincing around in the undergrowth during migration in places like Chicago in May or New York City in October. Audubon's climate model projects a total shift in summer climate space--with none of the core range stable or included by 2080. It appears, however, that a good deal of the new space is currently Arctic tundra, and black spruces are famously slow-growing trees. The model does not make any winter projections, as Connecticut Warblers winter in South America.
Explore more birds threatened by climate change around the country.
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