Each map is a visual guide to where a particular bird species may find the climate conditions it needs to survive in the future. We call this the bird’s “climatic range.”
The colors indicate the season in which the bird may find suitable conditions— blue for winter, yellow for summer (breeding), and green for where they overlap (indicating their presence year-round).
The darker the shaded area, the more likely it is the bird species will find suitable climate conditions to survive there.
The outline of the approximate current range for each season remains fixed in each frame, allowing you to compare how the range will expand, contract, or shift in the future.
The first frame of the animation shows where the bird can find a suitable climate today (based on data from 2000). The next three frames predict where this bird’s suitable climate may shift in the future—one frame each for 2020, 2050, and 2080.
You can play or pause the animation with the orange button in the lower left, or select an individual frame to study by clicking on its year.
This dapper species (even the female has a bright red head with a black headband) is a target for many birders who visit the coniferous forests in the mountains of the southwestern United States. Audubon’s climate model projects a challenging future for this species in the U.S. in the summer, with only one-quarter of climate space remaining stable, with significant northward shifting. Since this is a migratory species, it may well be able to locate and utilize newly available habitat further north in places like southern Colorado. The species winters in Honduras, Guatemala, and (mostly) Mexico, and therefore is not modeled for the winter season.
Explore more birds threatened by climate change around the country.
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